EP 2019: increasingly fragmented Parliament (fresh projections)

The year of this unprecedented electoral event has started. Five months from now, European citizens will vote for the first time without the British. Euro-critical / eurosceptical forces are trying to organise so that they can challenge the status-quo: today, Salvini meets Kaczynski. What can happen in May’s elections?

Here are some of our latest projections:

– If current trends are confirmed, for the first time in history of the elected EP, the two largest groups (EPP + S&D) would not be able to command a majority of seats. Continue Reading

VoteWatch CEO among the most influential players in Brussels

Doru Peter Frantescu, CEO and co-Founder of VoteWatch Europe, was mentioned  by a recent Politico report as one of the most influential players in the context of the Romanian Presidency of the Council of the EU. Since the first ever Romanian Presidency, which began on January 1st, is expected to cope with a big number of challenges for the EU: Brexit, the approaching European elections and the approval of the next multiannual financial framework, the practitioners mentioned in the report are expected to have a word to say in the “changing and treacherous political and diplomatic landscape” over the next 6 months.  Continue Reading

5 takeaways from our special event with Prof. Simon Hix

Our latest event on the future of Europe post-2019 featured a brilliant intervention by Prof. Simon Hix (Professor of Political Science at the London School of Economics and Co-Founder of VoteWatch Europe), who provided valuable insights on what might happen next year. Additionally, Doru Frantescu (Director and Co-Founder of VoteWatch Europe) provided key updates on the policy forecasts that VoteWatch Europe is carrying out in the run-up to the European elections.  Continue Reading

Policy forecasts – EU Digital Intellectual Property Rights after 2019

At the beginning of September, we kicked-off our newest series of forecasts on the likely post-electoral policy shifts. After our previous reports on the future direction of EU data protection and trade policies, we are now focusing on the future development of EU policies on Intellectual Property Rights in the digital single market.

This topic is particularly hot due to the recent votes on the introduction of stricter rules on the protection of copyright online. Continue Reading

EP elections forecasts: EU trade policies from 2019

At the beginning of September, we launched our newest series of forecasts on the likely post-electoral policy shifts. After our previous report on the future direction of EU data protection policieswe are now focusing on the political outlook for EU trade policy. 

If you are interested in becoming a sponsor of our forecast series, or simply in more detailed results, contact us at [email protected]   Continue Reading

EP elections forecast: EU data protection policies from 2019

With 9 months to go until the first EU elections without the UK, VoteWatch Europe is starting its series of forecasts on the likely post-electoral policy shifts. We are starting with a look at data protection, while many other areas will soon follow.

If you are interested in becoming a sponsor of our forecast series, or simply in more detailed results, contact us at [email protected]   Continue Reading

Does Weber have enough support to become President of the European Commission?

Did you know that? Independent studies place VoteWatch as the platform most followed by the Members of the European Parliament and our reports are regularly re-quoted by reputed institutions and the international media (The Economist, Der Spiegel, Le Monde, La Stampa, Politico, CNN, New York Times etc.).

We all knew that Manfred Weber was an ambitious politician. Continue Reading

Survey results: who will lead the EU after 2019?

How will the EU institutions look like after the 2019 reshuffle? This is the question on everyone’s mind in Brussels, but the answers differ based on the information that one has (one’s personal mini-bubble). In order to get an overview of the expectations of the EU affairs community as a whole,  VoteWatch Europe has surveyed more than 1.000 members of the broader ‘EU bubble’ (which also includes national civil servants, whose views are more reflective of the different national perspectives) for their views regarding the reallocation of top EU positions in 2019 (Presidencies of European Commission, European Parliament, European Council and European Central Bank). Continue Reading

VoteWatch Seminar: The Multiannual Financial Framework and Its Politics

An Analytical Look at the Future of the EU Budget

In the next couple of years, the European Institutions and the Member States are going to be busy debating the next Multiannual Financial Framework, ie the financial programming and budgetary discipline of the seven years period between 2021 and 2028.

This is a fundamental political discussion: by defining in which areas the EU should invest, the MFF is an expression of political priorities as much as a budgetary planning tool. Continue Reading

Scenario: who could take over EU’s top posts in 2019?

2019 is surely going to bring a large shake-up to the EU system. Next year we will see the first EU elections without the British and an increasingly fragmented European Parliament, as new political movements like Macron’s En Marche and the Italian 5 Star Movement are set to pose a serious challenge to the traditional parties. As a result, the allocation of top EU posts will be a more complex operation than ever before. Continue Reading