EP 2019: increasingly fragmented Parliament (fresh projections)

The year of this unprecedented electoral event has started. Five months from now, European citizens will vote for the first time without the British. Euro-critical / eurosceptical forces are trying to organise so that they can challenge the status-quo: today, Salvini meets Kaczynski. What can happen in May’s elections?

Here are some of our latest projections:

– If current trends are confirmed, for the first time in history of the elected EP, the two largest groups (EPP + S&D) would not be able to command a majority of seats. Continue Reading

VoteWatch CEO among the most influential players in Brussels

Doru Peter Frantescu, CEO and co-Founder of VoteWatch Europe, was mentioned  by a recent Politico report as one of the most influential players in the context of the Romanian Presidency of the Council of the EU. Since the first ever Romanian Presidency, which began on January 1st, is expected to cope with a big number of challenges for the EU: Brexit, the approaching European elections and the approval of the next multiannual financial framework, the practitioners mentioned in the report are expected to have a word to say in the “changing and treacherous political and diplomatic landscape” over the next 6 months.  Continue Reading

5 takeaways from our special event with Prof. Simon Hix

Our latest event on the future of Europe post-2019 featured a brilliant intervention by Prof. Simon Hix (Professor of Political Science at the London School of Economics and Co-Founder of VoteWatch Europe), who provided valuable insights on what might happen next year. Additionally, Doru Frantescu (Director and Co-Founder of VoteWatch Europe) provided key updates on the policy forecasts that VoteWatch Europe is carrying out in the run-up to the European elections.  Continue Reading

EP elections forecast: EU data protection policies from 2019

With 9 months to go until the first EU elections without the UK, VoteWatch Europe is starting its series of forecasts on the likely post-electoral policy shifts. We are starting with a look at data protection, while many other areas will soon follow.

If you are interested in becoming a sponsor of our forecast series, or simply in more detailed results, contact us at [email protected]   Continue Reading

Exclusive interview: the outlook for EU-Colombia relations in an increasingly divided world

By Carolina Chaparro Alba

The increasingly assertive behavior of the US administration and of other major powers such as Russia and China,  is posing a challenge to the clout of the EU in the world. While also facing the rise of nationalist forces across the European continent, the EU executive branch is becoming more isolated in its promotion of a consensus-driven approach to internal relations. Continue Reading

VoteWatch Seminar: The Multiannual Financial Framework and Its Politics

An Analytical Look at the Future of the EU Budget

In the next couple of years, the European Institutions and the Member States are going to be busy debating the next Multiannual Financial Framework, ie the financial programming and budgetary discipline of the seven years period between 2021 and 2028.

This is a fundamental political discussion: by defining in which areas the EU should invest, the MFF is an expression of political priorities as much as a budgetary planning tool. Continue Reading

Interview: China’s long shadow over EU-Taiwan relations

by Hsiao-Chiang (Jeff) Hsu – Business Development Assistant at VoteWatch Europe

Despite the absence of formal diplomatic relationships with Taiwan, the EU has established solid relations with the first democratic country in East Asia over the past decades. Economic relations between the two partners are particularly close and dynamic: Taiwan is currently the EU’s fourth largest trading partner in Asia and the EU is Taiwan’s fourth largest export market. Continue Reading

Winners and losers of the EP Plenary March 2018

Another plenary session, another special VoteWatch Europe report on the most controversial issues, the oddest voting behavior of EU Parliamentarians (MEPs) and the strangest bedfellows occurred in Strasbourg.

This time around, MEPs took a stance on whether EU countries infringing on the EU fundamental values should face financial consequences, whether new sources of revenue for the EU coffers should be introduced, as well as the controversial introduction of a Common Consolidated Corporate Tax Base at the EU level. Continue Reading

Survey results: What will happen in 2019 – pivotal year for the EU?

The findings of our latest survey among EU professionals reveal interesting expectations regarding the changes to take place in 2019. The EU affairs community largely expects the EPP to win the elections next year, but also to be the first political family to propose a leading candidate for the elections (spitzenkandidat). Eurosceptic forces are expected to stand strong, despite the departure of the British UKIP. Continue Reading

3 moves smart stakeholders should make ahead of 2019 – Brexit and EU elections year

With just over a year to go, the European Union will experience in 2019 one of its biggest transformations since the 2004 enlargement, as the UK is scheduled to leave in March, while the next European elections will take place in May. These two major political events, combined with a potentially stronger populist campaign led by Eurosceptic parties and a new pro-European movement spearheaded by French President Emmanuel Macron, will surely turn European politics into a new page. Continue Reading