EP2019 projections: 5-Star’s new group, what impact?

As anti-establishment parties attempt to challenge the European Union status-quo, Five Star Movement announced its plans of forming a new group in the European Parliament. This further reinforces projections of an increasingly fragmented EP, but in a different way: whilst fringe groups have been growing and trying to expand their outreach, this new group would in fact fragment the  anti-establishment camp. Continue Reading

EP 2019: increasingly fragmented Parliament (fresh projections)

The year of this unprecedented electoral event has started. Five months from now, European citizens will vote for the first time without the British. Euro-critical / eurosceptical forces are trying to organise so that they can challenge the status-quo: today, Salvini meets Kaczynski. What can happen in May’s elections?

Here are some of our latest projections:

– If current trends are confirmed, for the first time in history of the elected EP, the two largest groups (EPP + S&D) would not be able to command a majority of seats. Continue Reading

5 takeaways from our special event with Prof. Simon Hix

Our latest event on the future of Europe post-2019 featured a brilliant intervention by Prof. Simon Hix (Professor of Political Science at the London School of Economics and Co-Founder of VoteWatch Europe), who provided valuable insights on what might happen next year. Additionally, Doru Frantescu (Director and Co-Founder of VoteWatch Europe) provided key updates on the policy forecasts that VoteWatch Europe is carrying out in the run-up to the European elections.  Continue Reading

Policy forecasts – EU Digital Intellectual Property Rights after 2019

At the beginning of September, we kicked-off our newest series of forecasts on the likely post-electoral policy shifts. After our previous reports on the future direction of EU data protection and trade policies, we are now focusing on the future development of EU policies on Intellectual Property Rights in the digital single market.

This topic is particularly hot due to the recent votes on the introduction of stricter rules on the protection of copyright online. Continue Reading

Winners and Losers of EU politics – Sept. 2018 (IPR, Hungary, forecasts for 2019 and more!)

The last State of the European Union by Juncker, the triggering of art. 7 TEU, and the victory of the coalition advocating for stricter copyright rules in the digital single market are all delved into by our experts in this report. Additionally, we show who EU experts “think” and “hope” to see as Commission President next year. 

Key questions whose answers you will find in this report:

– EU affairs experts expect Manfred Weber to win the EC Presidency race, but if they could choose, they would prefer another person. Continue Reading

EP elections forecasts: EU trade policies from 2019

At the beginning of September, we launched our newest series of forecasts on the likely post-electoral policy shifts. After our previous report on the future direction of EU data protection policieswe are now focusing on the political outlook for EU trade policy. 

If you are interested in becoming a sponsor of our forecast series, or simply in more detailed results, contact us at [email protected]   Continue Reading

Why Brussels needs Stockholm to stay on board

https://no.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stefan_L%C3%B6fven#/media/File:Stefan_L%C3%B6fven_och_Fredrik_Reinfeldt_efter_slutdebatten_i_SVT.jpg

Yesterday’s Swedish elections confirmed some of trends that have been observed over the past few years (increasing strength of the far-right, decreasing popularity of the traditional political parties), although the results have not been as groundbreaking as many analysts expected (the performance of the far-right Sweden Democrats was underwhelming compared to the expectations, while the electoral losses of the two largest parties were lower than expected). Continue Reading

State of the Union – Research (by VoteWatch Europe)

https://www.flickr.com/photos/euractiv/14475172639

As the President of the European Commission is about to deliver his last State of the Union speech before the European elections, we are delivering our own State of the Union research based on our big data on the political developments in the EU institutions.

As the elections are getting closer, we decided to provide you with an overview of the main trends that we have observed over the last four years.  Continue Reading

EU – outsider of the AI Revolution led by US and China

by Adrian Bazavan (PhD candidate in artificial intelligence, based in Beijing)

The new “nuclear race” is the race to reach a critical A.I. level, also called the technological singularity, which is likely to secure world supremacy to the power who reaches it first.

During the 19th century, Europe opened a new era for humanity by leading the Industrial Revolution. Continue Reading

Does Weber have enough support to become President of the European Commission?

Did you know that? Independent studies place VoteWatch as the platform most followed by the Members of the European Parliament and our reports are regularly re-quoted by reputed institutions and the international media (The Economist, Der Spiegel, Le Monde, La Stampa, Politico, CNN, New York Times etc.).

We all knew that Manfred Weber was an ambitious politician. Continue Reading