How ‘COVID-19’ changes the balance of power: Winners and losers of emergency politics

Trougnouf (Benoit Brummer) / CC BY-SA (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)

The latest developments show that, despite the severe disruptions, the EU policy-making machinery is looking for new ways to cope with the emergency. However, stark divergences on how to deal with the economic fallout of the crisis were already laid bare over a tense Council summit last week. Continue Reading

Top analyses by VoteWatch – deep insights into the EU machinery

While political environments are often being described as ‘bubbles’ that are detached from the rest of society, they are far from being immune to the most dramatic international developments. After facing significant disruption due to the wave of terrorist attacks in 2015 – 2016, the EU political life is now sliding towards a standstill due to the ongoing Corona Virus pandemic. Continue Reading

EU Climate agenda: key MEP to watch

© European Union 2019 – Source : EP / ERIC VIDAL

This report is the second instance of our new series on individual MEPs: Getting to know the decision-makers. We launched this series last week when we looked at the track record of the rapporteur on the Just Transition Fund. In these reports, we look beyond mere statements and learn the actual directions in which the politicians work to influence EU legislation. Continue Reading

Just Transition Fund: key MEP to watch

© European Union 2017 – Source : EP / Eric VIDAL

This report is the first instance of our new series on individual MEPs: Getting to know the decision-makers. In these reports we look beyond mere statements and learn the actual directions in which the politicians work to influence EU decisions. Over the past 11 years since we launched VoteWatch Europe, we have witnessed many situations in which stakeholders and citizens know very little or are even led into thinking the opposite of who influences and how the EU decision-making. Continue Reading

The US Democratic Primaries: Where do the candidates stand on EU-US relations?

U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders speaking with supporters at a campaign rally at Desert Pines High School in Las Vegas, Nevada. – Gage Skidmore: https://flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/49540584737/

It is no news that the relationship between the EU and the US went through a rocky three years, following Donald Trump’s victory in 2016. Since then, top EU policymakers have hardly concealed their frustration with Trump’s muscular approach to international relations and trade. Continue Reading

EU budget battleground: here are the coalitions

The stakes can hardly be higher, as EU leaders are meeting today to kick off a negotiating marathon to decide on the next Multiannual Financial Framework of the EU. Finding an agreement will be more difficult than ever, as the increasing political fragmentation and polarization of political systems across the EU decrease the room for maneuver of the different national leaders.  Continue Reading

Spanish parties in EU decision-making: key positions and coalitions

Banderas de España y la Unión Europea _Contando Estrelas_ Flickr

https://www.flickr.com/photos/elentir/4487668812

This report is part of a series analyzing the voting behavior of Italian and Spanish parties while taking part in EU decision-making.

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During the past few years, Spanish and Italian politics have been in the global media limelight as their established political parties struggled to maintain legislative majorities with newer parties chipping away at their electorates.

Continue Reading

Italian parties in EU decision-making: key positions and coalitions

Rome 369 Italian and EU Flags _ Ed Uthman _ Flickr

https://www.flickr.com/photos/euthman/2972096591

This report is part of a series analyzing the voting behavior of Italian and Spanish parties while taking part in EU decision-making.

___________________________________________________________________________

During the past few years, Spanish and Italian politics have been in the global media limelight as their established political parties struggled to maintain legislative majorities with newer parties chipping away at their electorates. Continue Reading

European Parliament: current and future dynamics

The imminent departure of British MEPs brings further changes to the balance of power in the European Parliament, only a few months after the EP landscape was redrawn by the elections held in May 2019. This generates further confusion at a time when stakeholders are already struggling to engage with an apparently more unpredictable cohort of policymakers. However, the EP’s (and EU’s) decisions are not as unpredictable as commonly thought. Continue Reading

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VoteWatch Europe is the leading organisation that tracks and forecasts EU political developments, through a unique combination of big political data and expert insights.

Our services are requested by influential public and private organisations, universities, politicians and the media. 

Our work is built on two pillars:

1) we follow the dynamics in the EU institutions (majority building, winners and losers, cohesion of the groups) to identify the supporters, opponents and the kingmakers among the EU Parliamentarians on any given policy proposal or broader area;

2) we follow the socio-political trends across the continent (opinion polls, governments’ change) in order to forecast the changes in the balance of power in both the European Parliament and the Council,  and hence the agenda and the margin of maneuver of the European Commission, on any given policy proposal. Continue Reading