The European Parliament has recently said “no” to granting market economy status (MES) to China. At the final vote, 84% of its Members backed the EP document, which made it look to the outsiders like there is a broad consensus against MES for China. However, a closer look at the actual text adopted and on how MEPs voted on key amendments shows a much more nuanced picture by country and political family. Continue Reading
Despite lengthy negotiations and the optimism of the top-level political elites in Hannover, the fate of TTIP is far from certain. The on-going revelations based on leaked documents were meant to give an important blow to the negotiations. Their real impact on the public opinion will be measurable in the coming weeks, while on the medium-term crucial electoral contests are looming ahead. Continue Reading
At a first glance, the expansion of the Nord Stream Pipeline might merely be seen as a rather technical and legal issue. However, its wide geopolitical implications have always been source of controversies and have led to an intense flurry of activities. In fact, since the very beginning, many stakeholders have been trying to influence the final decisions that have to be taken by both the Commission and some Member States. Continue Reading
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Ireland will hold its parliamentary elections on 26 February. Although a small country, its political dynamics are important for the EU as a whole for at least two key reasons. Firstly, it is an indicator of success of the EU-stimulated economic reforms. Secondly, Ireland requires a referendum for any new EU treaty and, as seen in 2008, the result of such a referendum should not be taken for granted. Continue Reading
Nevada, United States – Last night, precincts in Nevada finished counting their votes with a surprising revelation, Donald Trump has won the Nevada Caucus. What seemed to be a farfetched idea has suddenly started to become a reality. Donald J. Trump is quickly sweeping the Republican field. Winning nearly twice as many votes as Marco Rubio, the real estate billionaire is winning in states that experts predicted him losing in or, at the very least, winning by a thin margin. Continue Reading
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VoteWatch Europe’s director & co-founder, Doru P. Frantescu, has revealed in an interview with the Spanish publication El Espanol that, from the ideological perspective, Spanish Socialist Party (PSOE) is much closer to Ciudadanos and Partido Popular than to Podemos. The conclusion is based on the analysis of the voting records of all Spanish Members of the European Parliament. Continue Reading
New Hampshire, United States – On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders came out with a major win over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. After an extremely narrow loss in Iowa last week, the Vermont senator won by over 20 points in New Hampshire.
On the Republican side, Donald Trump emerged victorious with about 35% of the vote and taking 10 delegates to the Republican National Convention this summer. Continue Reading
Iowa, United States – Americans have just received news from the first major caucus on the road to Election Day in November. People have been anxiously awaiting these results due to it being a major milestone in the race.
Here is what was learned last night. Ted Cruz finally knocked down Republican frontrunner, Donald Trump. Cruz came in at 28% support while Trump came in at 24%. This marks the first time another Republican candidate has overtaken Trump significantly. Marco Rubio came in third place with about 23% support. Trump no longer has the significant lead on the rest of the candidates that he thought he had. His attacks on other candidates may increase in strength now that he sees them as a threat. He began attacking Cruz for being a Canadian-born American recently because he was beginning to gain a lot of support.
With the perspective of the Brexit referendum looming ahead, many analyses that show the impact of this move on the economy in both the UK and the rest of the EU are published. Our analysis takes a different angle, looking at how the direction of the EU policies is likely to change in the absence of the UK representatives from the EU decision-making bodies.
In short, if UK leaves the EU, this will change substantially the dynamics in the EU institutions. Continue Reading