The EU and UK have just started negotiating the Brexit deal, but the future status of the EU-UK relations is more uncertain than ever. Theresa May’s bid to increase her majority in the Parliament by calling snap elections backfired. Political uncertainty is shared by continental Europe, as Member States struggle to find a common direction to the future of the Union. Continue Reading
Doru Peter Frantescu is co-founder and CEO of VoteWatch Europe. His data-driven reports on the actual voting behavior of Parliamentarians and Governments in the EU decision-making have been quoted by reputed institutions and the media in over 35 countries on 5 continents.
In a panel this week at the European Business Summit and an interview with Euronews, he spoke about the directions in which we can expect the EU to go, applying the current trends revealed by the processing of actual decision-making data (as opposed to carefully-crafted political statements) to the events expected between now and the end of 2019. Continue Reading
Dieselgate proved to be a highly contentious matter when debated in the European Parliament this week. The vote on the report of the special inquiry committee, set up after the accusations that car-maker Volkswagen used software to cheat diesel pollution controls, has revealed the variety of views among the EU decision-makers on the matter.
The report, ultimately approved by a majority of Members of the European Parliament (MEPs), makes some concrete proposals, such as the simplification of air quality legislation at the European Union level, tighter surveillance controls, and the financial compensation of European car buyers. Continue Reading
This report looks at the impact of Brexit from a fresh angle, digging into how the direction of the EU policies is likely to change in the absence of the UK representatives from the EU decision-making bodies. Our research combines expert insights with big political data that captures the actual voting records of representatives of all 28 Member States in the EU institutions in recent years. Continue Reading
As our simulation predicted a week ago, Antonio Tajani (EPP, IT) won the elections to become President of the European Parliament in the run-off against his compatriot Gianni Pittella (S&D). In addition to the expected support from the ECR, the centre-right candidate secured the support of the Liberal group (ALDE), after the signing of a new coalition between EPP and ALDE that aims at relaunching the European project. Continue Reading
Against the background of rising nationalism in many Member States, the 7th largest EU member and the fastest growing EU economy in 2016 (5.2%), Romania, held its parliamentary elections this Sunday. The Social-Democrats (S&D) won by a landslide, taking advantage of the fragmentation and lack of a clear message by the center-right camp.
While no proper anti-EU party made it into the new Parliament, nationalistic sentiments do exist within the ranks of the winning party and the elections’ results do indicate a shift in the policies of Bucharest’s next government, which is more likely to play hard ball in Brussels than the outgoing one. Continue Reading
By Sean McLaughlin
The few British Europhiles are looking for every chance to say ‘I told you so’. Yet, a sober assessment tells us that Brexit may well have some positive affects and opportunities.
Information and Euroscepticism
For decades, Euroscepticism has been a prominent movement in the UK with only hypothetical premises. These premises are now real and Brexit is playing out. Continue Reading
There is a lot of uncertainty about how Brexit will impact on the current EU initiatives and its highest level politicians. Various officials are trying to spin the narrative so that they can leverage Brexit to back their agendas. But will this work? How will Brexit actually influence the commitments to the EU integration of the remaining Member States? How will it affect TTIP negotiations, the REFIT, digital single market, or the relations with Russia and China? Continue Reading
by Andrei Goldis and Doru Frantescu
Once Britain will lose its representatives in the European Union institutions, the British stakeholders, both public and private, will have to find new channels of influencing European policy, as the decisions made in Brussels will continue to impact substantially on the British interests. This analysis maps the most likely coalition partners that the UK-based interest groups can work with. Continue Reading
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Después del Brexit, analizamos las posiciones de los europarlamentarios respecto al futuro de Europa. Observamos que existen fuertes discrepancias no solo entre los Estados miembros, sino también entre las diferentes familias políticas. De hecho, en países como Francia, Italia o Alemania, las posiciones de los partidos representados en el Parlamento Europeo varían considerablemente a lo largo de todo el espectro político. Continue Reading